Match Replay

Step 16 of 65. Current minute: 21 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.5	1.95	1.48
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	-	2.6	1.9	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
8	4	1.44	2.62	1.22	1.08	-	-	1.12	6	1.62	2.25	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.1% | EV +4.1% | ROI +5.1% | n=171 | k=1.95

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +3.1% | EV +8.0% | ROI +2.9% | n=171 | k=2.62

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.4% | ROI -5.8% | n=171 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +4.0% | ROI -33.3% | n=171 | k=6.00

AI-agent: At 21 minutes into the match, Roma leads Bologna 1-0, reflecting the current pressure from the visitors. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, where the score was 0-0 at this stage. Historical data on similar situations is weak and does not support a confident bet on Bologna's win, showing a negative ROI and a failed validation. Although the model identifies a potential value in betting on a Bologna victory with an edge of +5.2% and an expected value of +41.8%, the entry conditions are not met due to the current score and match tempo. The top-4 markets suggest monitoring options like Asian Handicap +1 and Double Chance 1X with moderate positive edges, but no strong betting signals are present, so this remains a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 21