Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	2.5	2.05	1.45
Away	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	-	2.67	1.8	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
10	4.33	1.36	3	1.2	1.06	-	-	1.22	4.33	2.02	1.82	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.5% | EV +13.4% | ROI +16.9% | n=230 | k=2.05

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +3.1% | EV +9.4% | ROI +27.8% | n=230 | k=3.00

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.6% | EV +2.3% | ROI +4.7% | n=230 | k=1.45

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +3.9% | ROI -22.8% | n=230 | k=4.33

AI-agent: At the 40th minute in Bologna vs Roma, Roma leads 1-0 but there is no clear dominance in play or sustained pressure from either side recently. Both teams are playing at a slower tempo compared to their last meeting, which ended 1-0. Historical data supports a +1 handicap on Bologna with a 60.5% win rate and a positive ROI of 16.9%, indicating value at odds around 2.05. However, the model has not triggered a confirmed entry due to current score, tempo, and match stats, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. The top recommended markets all suggest monitoring with moderate edges and expected value, emphasizing risk control and patience before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 40