Match Replay

Step 29 of 65. Current minute: 41 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	2.5	2.02	1.43
Away	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	-	2.75	1.82	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
11	4	1.36	3	1.22	1.05	-	-	1.25	4	2.15	1.68	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.7% | EV +13.6% | ROI +14.1% | n=230 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +3.5% | EV +10.4% | ROI +23.9% | n=230 | k=3.00

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.0% | EV +1.5% | ROI +2.2% | n=230 | k=1.42

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +3.6% | ROI -25.2% | n=230 | k=4.00

AI-agent: At 41 minutes, Roma leads Bologna 1-0, but recent play shows no clear dominance from either side and a slower tempo compared to their last encounter. Historical data supports a +1 handicap for Bologna with a 59.4% success rate and a positive ROI of 14.1%, indicating value in this market. The model favors the +1 handicap for Bologna with an edge of 6.7% and expected value of 13.6%, yet the entry criteria are not fully met due to current match dynamics. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, so cautious observation is advised before considering a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 41