Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	2.5	2.05	1.43
Away	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	-	2.75	1.8	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
12	4.33	1.36	3	1.2	1.04	-	-	1.28	3.75	2.25	1.62	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.3% | EV +3.3% | ROI +4.5% | n=225 | k=1.42

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.2% | EV +14.7% | ROI +15.3% | n=225 | k=2.05

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.6% | EV +4.7% | ROI +20.0% | n=225 | k=3.00

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.0% | EV +3.9% | ROI -18.3% | n=225 | k=3.75

AI-agent: At 45 minutes into the Bologna vs Roma match, Roma leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without a clear signal or strong odds drop from pre-match levels, and shot data does not favor either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which ended 1-0 after a 0-0 score at this stage. Historical data supports a +1.5 handicap for Bologna with a 73.3% win rate and positive ROI, confirmed by the model showing a 2.3% edge and 3.3% expected value. The best betting opportunity is on Bologna +1.5 handicap at odds around 1.42, but since this position is already open or covered in the portfolio, no new bet is advised now. Other markets like AH_HOME+1, Double Chance 1X, and Under 1.5 goals are on watch for potential future value. This is a monitored situation rather than a mandatory entry, emphasizing risk control and value confirmation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 45