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Match Replay

Step 39 of 65. Current minute: 53 .
Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 53'   —   Bologna 0:2 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 1 3 2 - - - 2.5 2.02 3.45
Away 2 0 0 7 2 5 5 - 1.3 1.82 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
41 13 1.04 13 1.04 1 - - - - 1.35 3.1 2.67 1.45
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.9% | EV +47.3% | ROI +56.3% | n=53 | k=1.82
2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.7% | ROI +5.3% | n=53 | k=3.10
3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.6% | ROI -4.2% | n=53 | k=1.45
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.5% | EV -1.8% | ROI -21.9% | n=53 | k=3.45
AI-agent: At the 53rd minute in Bologna vs Roma, Roma leads 2-0 and exerts clear pressure, reflecting the match flow well. The current play aligns closely with their previous encounter, where Roma was ahead by 1-0 at this stage and won 1-0. Historical data strongly supports a -1 handicap on Roma with a 91.1% win rate and a 56.3% ROI over 53 matches. The model confirms this with a 25.9% edge and 47.3% expected value at odds of 1.82. Although this bet is recommended by top markets, no new position is opened as it may already be covered in the portfolio. This is a favorable betting opportunity but should be managed carefully within risk limits.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 53