Match Replay

Step 51 of 65. Current minute: 73 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	9	1	8	4	-	-	-	2.5	2.02	3.7
Away	2	0	0	7	2	5	5	-	1.26	1.82	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	17	1.02	17	1.02	1	-	-	-	-	1.88	1.98	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.0% | EV +49.4% | ROI +67.0% | n=66 | k=1.82

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.0% | EV +0.1% | ROI +16.7% | n=66 | k=1.98

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.0% | EV -7.5% | ROI -23.3% | n=66 | k=1.88

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.5% | EV -9.4% | ROI -43.9% | n=66 | k=3.70

AI-agent: At 73 minutes, Roma leads Bologna 2-0, with Bologna applying pressure but no clear dominance in play. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which ended 1-0 in favor of Bologna by this stage. Historical data strongly supports a Roma handicap -1 bet, showing a 96.6% win rate and a 67% ROI over 66 matches. The model confirms this with a 27% edge and 49.4% expected value, though no new bet is advised as this position is already covered. The top recommendation is to back Roma on AH -1, while monitoring under 2.5 goals as a cautious option. Over 2.5 goals and home handicap bets are not recommended due to negative expected returns.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 73