Match Replay

Step 53 of 65. Current minute: 76 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	9	1	8	4	-	-	-	2.5	2.02	3.8
Away	2	0	0	7	2	5	5	-	1.25	1.82	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
67	19	1.02	19	1.02	1	-	-	-	-	2	1.85	6.5	1.11

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.4% | EV +50.0% | ROI +68.1% | n=77 | k=1.82

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.3% | ROI +15.3% | n=77 | k=1.85

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.9% | EV -7.8% | ROI -24.7% | n=77 | k=2.00

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.9% | EV -11.2% | ROI -45.7% | n=77 | k=3.80

AI-agent: At the 76th minute, Roma leads Bologna 2-0, but Bologna is applying pressure in the final phase. The tempo is slower than their last meeting, and there is no clear dominance despite the scoreline. Historical data strongly supports a Roma handicap -1 bet, with a 97.1% win rate and a high ROI of 68.1%. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +27.4% and expected value of +50.0%, though no new bet is opened as the position is already held. Among top markets, the handicap on Roma -1 is the best value play, but given the current pressure from Bologna, cautious risk management is advised. Other markets like total goals or home handicap show no positive expected value, so this remains a monitoring scenario rather than a mandatory new entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 76