Match Replay

Step 55 of 65. Current minute: 79 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	9	1	8	4	-	-	-	2.5	2.02	4.25
Away	2	0	0	7	2	5	5	-	1.21	1.82	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
81	23	1.01	23	1.01	1	-	-	-	-	2.3	1.65	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +28.0% | EV +51.1% | ROI +72.5% | n=76 | k=1.82

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.5% | EV -0.8% | ROI +10.7% | n=76 | k=1.65

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -8.3% | ROI -24.3% | n=76 | k=2.30

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.7% | EV -11.7% | ROI -55.3% | n=76 | k=4.25

AI-agent: At the 79th minute with Bologna trailing Roma 0-2, the home side is pressing but without clear dominance. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which ended 1-0. Historical data strongly supports a Roma -1 Asian Handicap bet, showing a 98.6% success rate and a 72.5% ROI over 76 matches. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +28.0% and expected value of +51.1%, though no new bet is advised since the position is already held or covered. This is the best value bet currently, but as always, risk should be managed carefully. Other markets like under/over 2.5 goals or home handicap show no positive expected value and are not recommended now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 79