Match Replay

Step 59 of 65. Current minute: 86 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	10	2	8	5	-	-	-	2.5	2.02	6
Away	2	0	0	7	2	5	6	-	1.12	1.82	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
301	41	1	1.67	1.33	1.22	-	-	-	-	3.25	1.35	19	1.02

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +28.7% | EV +52.4% | ROI +74.1% | n=81 | k=1.82

2) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +17.9% | EV +23.9% | ROI +31.7% | n=81 | k=1.33

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.1% | EV +12.8% | ROI -48.1% | n=81 | k=6.00

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.8% | EV -2.5% | ROI +3.3% | n=81 | k=1.35

AI-agent: At the 86th minute, Roma leads Bologna 2-0 with no red cards. The home team is pressing in the final phase, but Roma maintains control without a clear dominance in play. Historical data strongly supports the away handicap -1 bet, showing a 98.7% win rate and a high ROI of 74.1%. The model confirms a strong edge of +28.7% and an expected value of +52.4% at odds of 1.82. Although no new bet is opened since this position is already covered, this remains the best value bet with controlled risk. Other markets like double chance and home handicap are on watch, while under 2.5 goals is not recommended now due to negative expected value.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 86