Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.5	2.25	1.65
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	2.2	1.62	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
9	4.33	1.4	2.75	1.2	1.07	1.07	9	1.07	9	1.4	3	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +13.8% | EV +22.8% | ROI +44.8% | n=1168 | k=1.65

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.4% | EV +34.7% | ROI +72.8% | n=1168 | k=2.25

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.6% | ROI +98.0% | n=1168 | k=3.00

4) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.7% | EV +4.8% | ROI +87.2% | n=1168 | k=2.75

AI-agent: At 7 minutes into the Bologna vs Roma match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side, and the tempo is slower than their last meeting. Historical data supports a strong edge for the home handicap +1.5 with an 87.8% win rate and a 44.8% ROI over 1168 matches. The model confirms this with a 13.8% edge and 22.8% expected value at odds of 1.65. Since the position is already open or covered in the portfolio, no new bet is advised now. This is a favorable situation for the home handicap +1.5, but risk should be managed carefully. Other markets like AH_HOME+1, Under 2.5, and Double Chance 1X are on watch, indicating monitoring rather than mandatory entries.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 7