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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.5	2.05	1.52
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	-	2.42	1.8	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
8.5	4	1.44	2.62	1.22	1.07	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.57	2.38	2.75	1.44

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.4% | EV +7.0% | ROI +8.4% | n=170 | k=2.05

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.4% | EV +6.4% | ROI +1.9% | n=170 | k=2.62

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.9% | ROI -6.4% | n=170 | k=2.38

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.7% | EV -4.2% | ROI +3.2% | n=170 | k=1.52

AI-agent: At 19 minutes into the match, Roma leads Bologna 1-0, reflecting the current game dynamics where Roma is applying pressure. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter on August 23, 2025, which ended 1-0 with a 0-0 score at this stage. Historical data for similar situations is weak and shows a negative ROI of -25%, indicating no reliable edge for betting on Bologna's win. The model identifies a potential value bet on Bologna to win with an 8.50 odds and a positive expected value, but entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not met, so no bet is advised. The top markets suggest watching Asian Handicap +1 for Bologna or Double Chance 1X, both offering modest edges and positive expected value, but no strong signals for a confident bet. Under 2.5 goals and Asian Handicap +1.5 have negative expected value, so they are not recommended. Overall, this is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 19