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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 27'   —   Bologna 0:1 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.5 2.05 1.5
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 2 - 2.5 1.8 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
9.5 4 1.4 2.75 1.22 1.06 - - 1.17 5 1.77 2.02 3.4 1.33
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.8% | EV +7.8% | ROI +6.3% | n=202 | k=2.05
2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.4% | EV +6.5% | ROI +2.1% | n=202 | k=2.75
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.1% | ROI -5.0% | n=202 | k=1.33
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +3.5% | ROI -35.6% | n=202 | k=5.00
AI-agent: At 27 minutes into the Bologna vs Roma match, Roma leads 1-0 with no red cards. The game shows no sustained pressure from either side recently, and the tempo is slower than their last meeting, which ended 1-0. Historical data for similar situations is weak and not reliable, with a negative ROI and no confirmed edge for a home win. The model suggests a potential value bet on a Bologna win with a 9.50 odds and positive expected value, but entry conditions are not met due to the current score and match dynamics. All top markets recommend watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase with moderate edges but no clear betting opportunity yet. Caution is advised given the uncertain momentum and historical signals.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 27