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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	2.5	2.02	1.43
Away	1	0	0	3	1	2	3	-	2.75	1.82	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
11	4.33	1.36	3	1.2	1.05	-	-	1.3	3.5	2.25	1.62	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.3% | EV +3.3% | ROI +4.5% | n=225 | k=1.42

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.1% | EV +14.3% | ROI +14.3% | n=225 | k=2.02

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.3% | EV +6.9% | ROI +20.0% | n=225 | k=3.00

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +2.8% | ROI -23.8% | n=225 | k=3.50

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Roma leads Bologna 1-0, but recent play shows no clear dominance from either side, with both teams playing at a slower pace than their last meeting. Historical data supports a +1.5 handicap for Bologna with a 73.3% success rate and a positive ROI of 4.5%, confirmed by the model with an edge of +2.3% and expected value of +3.3%. The best betting opportunity is on Bologna +1.5 handicap at odds around 1.42, offering a balanced risk profile. Other markets like AH+1 and Double Chance 1X are worth monitoring but not recommended for immediate bets. This is a controlled situation where the current position on AH+1.5 is either already held or covered in the portfolio, so no new bet is advised now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 45