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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	2.5	2.02	3
Away	2	0	0	4	1	3	4	-	1.38	1.82	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
34	11	1.05	10	1.05	1	-	-	-	-	1.3	3.5	2.3	1.6

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.8% | EV +43.5% | ROI -18.0% | n=225 | k=1.82

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +0.7% | ROI -5.2% | n=225 | k=1.60

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.3% | ROI -0.3% | n=225 | k=3.50

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.5% | EV -1.6% | ROI +4.5% | n=225 | k=3.00

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Roma leads Bologna 2-0, but recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side and a slower tempo compared to their last meeting. Historical data for the away handicap -1 shows a negative ROI of -18%, indicating weak reliability despite a model edge of +23.8% and expected value of +43.5%. Given this, the situation calls for caution with a watch status rather than a confident bet. The best monitored option is the away handicap -1, but risk control advises waiting for stronger confirmation before placing a wager.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 45