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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 56'   —   Bologna 0:2 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 4 1 3 2 - - - 2.5 2.02 3.45
Away 2 0 0 7 2 5 5 - 1.3 1.82 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
41 13 1.04 13 1.04 1 - - - - 1.43 2.75 3 1.38
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.0% | EV +47.5% | ROI +55.7% | n=55 | k=1.82
2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.2% | ROI +5.0% | n=55 | k=2.75
3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.7% | EV -0.9% | ROI -5.0% | n=55 | k=1.38
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.8% | EV -2.9% | ROI -18.5% | n=55 | k=3.45
AI-agent: At 56 minutes, Roma leads Bologna 2-0 and continues to apply strong pressure, reflecting the match's flow and resembling their previous encounter where Roma led 1-0 at this stage. Historical data supports a -1 Asian Handicap on Roma with a 91.3% win rate and a 55.7% ROI over 55 matches, confirming a solid edge. The model confirms this with a +26.0% edge and +47.5% expected value at odds of 1.82, though no new bet is advised as the position is already covered. This is a favorable betting opportunity on Roma -1, but risk should be managed carefully given the current match dynamics.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 56