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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 74'   —   Bologna 0:2 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 9 1 8 4 - - - 2.5 2.02 3.7
Away 2 0 0 7 2 5 5 - 1.26 1.82 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
67 19 1.02 19 1.02 1 - - - - 1.98 1.88 6 1.12
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.2% | EV +49.7% | ROI +68.1% | n=71 | k=1.82
2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.1% | ROI +13.6% | n=71 | k=1.88
3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.9% | EV -7.7% | ROI -22.1% | n=71 | k=1.98
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.7% | EV -10.2% | ROI -47.9% | n=71 | k=3.70
AI-agent: At the 74th minute, Roma leads Bologna 2-0, with Bologna applying pressure but no clear dominance in play. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where Roma was ahead 1-0 at this stage. Historical data strongly supports a Roma -1 Asian Handicap bet, showing a 96.8% win rate and a 68.1% ROI over 71 matches. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +27.2% and expected value of +49.7%, though no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. This remains the best betting opportunity here, but it should be approached with standard risk management. Other markets like under/over 2.5 goals and home handicap show no value currently.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 74