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Italy | Serie A | Bologna - Roma | 25.04.2026 | 21:00:00 | LIVE 7'   —   Bologna 0:1 Roma
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - 2.5 2.08 1.57
Away 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 - 2.35 1.73 1.5 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
8 4.33 1.44 2.62 1.2 1.08 - - 1.08 8 1.44 2.75 2.2 1.67
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.0% | EV +6.3% | ROI +72.8% | n=1168 | k=2.08
2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.0% | EV +5.2% | ROI +87.2% | n=1168 | k=2.62
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +1.6% | ROI +40.8% | n=1168 | k=1.67
4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.4% | ROI +98.0% | n=1168 | k=2.75
AI-agent: At 7 minutes into the Bologna vs Roma match, Roma leads 1-0, but the shot data does not clearly favor either side, reflecting a balanced game so far. Historical analysis shows a strong edge for a home win with a 35.2% probability and a high ROI of 216.7%, based on 1168 similar matches. The model suggests a home win bet with an attractive 8.00 odds and positive expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match tempo. Top-4 markets recommend watching Asian Handicap +1 for the home team and Double Chance 1X, both showing moderate edges and EV, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm bet. Caution is advised as no clear pressure or momentum shift is confirmed yet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378194 | minute: 7