Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.85	1.55	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.38	1.4	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.2	3.2	3.5	1.28	1.33	1.61	1.06	10	1.3	3.5	2.02	1.82	3.5	1.3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +9.2% | EV +32.3% | ROI +24.2% | n=2094 | k=3.50

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.6% | EV +5.8% | ROI +7.3% | n=2094 | k=1.61

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.2% | EV +4.1% | ROI +6.2% | n=2094 | k=1.82

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.7% | EV +6.0% | ROI +3.3% | n=2094 | k=3.50

AI-agent: At 11 minutes into the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without a clear signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels. Shot data does not confirm dominance by either side, and both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, which ended 3-1 to Fiorentina. Historical data from over 2000 similar matches favors an away win with a 35.5% probability and a positive ROI of 24.2%, supporting a model edge of +9.2% and expected value of +32.3% on a Sassuolo win at odds of 3.50. However, the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not met, so no bet is advised now. The top markets suggest monitoring the away win and double chance on Sassuolo, indicating a watch status rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 11