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Match Replay

Step 16 of 89. Current minute: 17 .
Italy | Serie A | Fiorentina - Sassuolo | 26.04.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 17'   —   Fiorentina 0:0 Sassuolo
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - 2.85 1.55 - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - 2.38 1.4 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.25 3.1 3.4 1.3 1.33 1.57 1.08 8 1.36 3.2 2.15 1.68 4 1.25
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +9.0% | EV +30.7% | ROI +20.5% | n=1797 | k=3.40
2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.0% | EV +4.7% | ROI +6.3% | n=1797 | k=1.57
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.5% | EV +6.3% | ROI +14.0% | n=1797 | k=1.40
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +6.4% | ROI +6.0% | n=1797 | k=3.20
AI-agent: At 17 minutes with the score 0-0, the market shows no strong signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, indicating balanced pressure. Shot data does not clearly favor either side, and both teams are playing at a slower pace than their last encounter. Historical data from 1797 similar matches suggests a 35.4% probability and a positive ROI of 20.5% for an away win, with a fair odds estimate of 2.82. The model currently favors an away win at odds of 3.40 with a 9% edge and 30.7% expected value, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not met yet. Top-4 markets recommend monitoring this situation rather than placing a bet now, emphasizing risk control and waiting for clearer confirmation before committing.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 17