Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	-	-	2.85	1.48	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.6	1.4	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.1	3	3.75	1.25	1.36	1.67	1.1	7	1.44	2.75	2.35	1.57	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +8.3% | EV +31.1% | ROI +30.1% | n=1588 | k=3.75

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +4.2% | EV +7.0% | ROI +12.7% | n=1588 | k=1.67

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.0% | EV +7.0% | ROI +14.3% | n=1588 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.0% | ROI +3.5% | n=1588 | k=1.57

AI-agent: At 22 minutes into the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without a clear signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels. Shot data does not confirm dominance by either side, and both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter. Historical data from 1588 similar matches shows a 34.7% probability and 30.1% ROI favoring an away win, with a fair odds estimate of 2.88. The model suggests an away win with an edge of +8.3% and expected value of +31.1% at odds of 3.75, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match tempo. Top-4 markets recommend watching this situation rather than placing a bet now, emphasizing risk control and monitoring for better entry points.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 22