Match Replay

Step 36 of 89. Current minute: 38 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	8	1	7	3	-	-	2.85	1.5	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	0	3	0	-	-	-	2.5	1.4	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.91	3.1	3.6	1.25	1.33	1.8	1.05	11	1.25	4	1.82	2.02	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +36.5% | EV +146.1% | ROI +90.5% | n=1035 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +35.4% | EV +71.7% | ROI +56.1% | n=1035 | k=2.02

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +22.5% | EV +31.5% | ROI +28.2% | n=1035 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +7.4% | EV +13.3% | ROI +26.4% | n=1035 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At 38 minutes into the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, who have been more active in shots and tempo, showing stronger play compared to their recent head-to-head benchmark. Historical data supports a bet on under 1.5 goals with a 47.6% probability and a strong ROI of 90.5%, and the model shows a significant edge and expected value. However, the entry conditions for placing this bet are not yet met based on the current score and match dynamics, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. Monitoring the under 1.5 goals market is advised, considering the positive indicators but also the need for risk control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 38