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Italy | Serie A | Fiorentina - Sassuolo | 26.04.2026 | 15:30:00 | HT   —   Fiorentina 0:0 Sassuolo
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Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 9 1 8 4 - - 2.85 1.43 - -
Away 0 0 0 4 0 4 1 - - - 2.75 1.4 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.2 2.75 4.33 1.2 1.4 1.61 1.22 4.33 1.98 1.88 4 1.25 9 1.07
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +8.3% | EV +36.1% | ROI +36.9% | n=858 | k=4.33
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.0% | EV +15.4% | ROI +18.8% | n=858 | k=1.40
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +2.6% | EV +4.2% | ROI +14.8% | n=858 | k=1.61
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +1.9% | EV +3.5% | ROI +0.5% | n=858 | k=1.88
AI-agent: At halftime, the score is 0-0 between Fiorentina and Sassuolo, with the market showing clear pressure towards a draw, reflected in an 11% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Fiorentina has been more active in shots and tempo, especially in the recent phase, while Sassuolo is underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1, with an 88% win rate and positive ROI, but the current model has not triggered a bet due to the match dynamics and scoreline. The top-4 markets suggest monitoring this game rather than placing a mandatory bet, highlighting the away handicap +1 as the most promising option with an 11% edge and 15.4% expected value, but caution is advised until entry conditions are fully met.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 45