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Match Replay

Step 48 of 89. Current minute: 49 .
Italy | Serie A | Fiorentina - Sassuolo | 26.04.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 49'   —   Fiorentina 0:0 Sassuolo
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 11 1 10 4 - - 2.85 1.43 - -
Away 0 0 0 4 0 4 1 - - - 2.75 1.4 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.25 2.6 4.5 1.18 1.44 1.57 1.25 4 2.15 1.68 4.5 1.2 11 1.05
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +8.0% | EV +36.1% | ROI +35.2% | n=732 | k=4.50
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.7% | EV +17.8% | ROI +21.0% | n=732 | k=1.40
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +1.6% | EV +2.6% | ROI +12.9% | n=732 | k=1.57
4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.5% | ROI -1.6% | n=732 | k=1.68
AI-agent: At the 49th minute with the score tied at 0-0, the market shows strong support for a draw, with odds dropping 16% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market pressure. Fiorentina is more active in shots and tempo, applying pressure in this early second-half phase, while Sassuolo is underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data for similar situations strongly favors the away team with a +1 handicap, showing a 90.2% win rate and a 21% ROI, confirming a solid edge. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match conditions not meeting entry criteria. The top markets suggest watching the away handicap +1 as the best candidate with a positive expected value and edge, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet. Caution and risk control are advised before entering any position.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 49