Match Replay

Step 69 of 89. Current minute: 73 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	14	4	10	4	-	-	2.85	1.5	-	-
Away	0	0	0	10	1	9	3	-	-	-	2.5	1.4	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.1	1.8	5.5	1.14	1.91	1.33	1.8	2.05	5	1.17	17	1.02	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +22.8% | EV +31.9% | ROI +33.8% | n=381 | k=1.40

2) Watch | AWAY | Edge +6.4% | EV +35.4% | ROI +40.0% | n=381 | k=5.50

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.9% | EV +29.3% | ROI +27.8% | n=381 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +8.9% | EV +16.0% | ROI -4.6% | n=381 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At 73 minutes with a 0-0 score in Fiorentina vs Sassuolo, the market strongly favors a draw, with odds dropping 42% from pre-match levels, showing clear market pressure. Fiorentina has been more active in shots and overall play, though Sassuolo is pressing more recently. Historical data supports under 3.5 goals with a 95.5% win rate and a positive ROI of 33.8%, confirming a solid edge for this total. However, the current model suggests waiting as the entry conditions for a bet on under 3.5 goals are not yet met given the match tempo and score. The top-4 markets also recommend monitoring rather than betting now, indicating a cautious approach despite favorable expected value. This is a watch situation, not a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control in a tight and balanced game.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 73