Match Replay

Step 78 of 89. Current minute: 83 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	18	4	14	6	-	-	2.85	1.5	-	-
Away	0	0	0	10	1	9	3	-	-	-	2.65	1.4	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.33	1.4	8	1.08	2.75	1.2	2.8	1.45	15	1.03	1.82	2.02	3	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +40.7% | EV +82.4% | ROI +81.9% | n=305 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +18.0% | EV +50.5% | ROI +17.5% | n=305 | k=2.80

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +22.8% | EV +31.9% | ROI +32.2% | n=305 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.7% | EV +30.4% | ROI +29.3% | n=305 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At the 83rd minute of Fiorentina vs Sassuolo, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 55% from pre-match levels, reflecting clear market consensus. Fiorentina shows more attacking activity and pressure in the late stages, outperforming their previous head-to-head benchmark, while Sassuolo is below their usual level. Historical data strongly supports under 2.5 goals with an 89.8% win rate and an 81.9% ROI over 305 matches. The model highlights under 2.5 goals as the best value bet with a 40.7% edge and 82.4% expected value, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not yet met. Top-4 markets suggest watching under 2.5 goals and other conservative options, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet. Caution and risk control remain advisable in this balanced and tight match.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 83