Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	2.85	1.52	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.42	1.4	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.1	3.2	3.5	1.28	1.33	1.67	1.06	10	1.28	3.75	1.95	1.9	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +8.6% | EV +30.2% | ROI +24.7% | n=2209 | k=3.50

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +4.4% | EV +7.3% | ROI +10.1% | n=2209 | k=1.67

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +2.5% | EV +4.7% | ROI +7.4% | n=2209 | k=1.90

4) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.0% | EV +7.3% | ROI +6.8% | n=2209 | k=3.75

AI-agent: At 9 minutes into the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without a clear signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, and shot data does not favor either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which ended 3-1 to Fiorentina. Historical analysis of similar situations shows a 35.6% probability and a positive ROI of 24.7% for an away win, with a fair odds estimate of 2.81. The model currently favors a Sassuolo win with an edge of +8.6% and expected value of +30.2% at odds of 3.50, but the entry criteria based on current score, tempo, and stats are not met, so no bet is advised yet. The top markets suggest watching the away win and double chance options with moderate edges, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 9