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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	2.85	1.55	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.38	1.4	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.25	3.1	3.4	1.3	1.33	1.57	1.08	8	1.36	3.2	2.1	1.7	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +9.0% | EV +30.7% | ROI +20.0% | n=1848 | k=3.40

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.0% | EV +4.7% | ROI +5.8% | n=1848 | k=1.57

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.2% | EV +5.9% | ROI +13.7% | n=1848 | k=1.40

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.4% | ROI +4.7% | n=1848 | k=1.70

AI-agent: At 16 minutes into the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure is balanced without a clear signal or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, and shot data does not favor either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, which ended 3-1 in favor of Fiorentina. Historical data from 1848 similar matches shows a 35.3% probability and a positive ROI of 20% for an away win, with a fair odds estimate of 2.83. The model currently favors a Sassuolo win with an edge of +9.0% and expected value of +30.7% at odds of 3.40, but the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and match stats are not yet met. Top-4 markets suggest monitoring the away win and related bets as potential opportunities, but this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet, so caution and risk control are advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 16