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Italy | Serie A | Fiorentina - Sassuolo | 26.04.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 74'   —   Fiorentina 0:0 Sassuolo
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 14 4 10 4 - - 2.85 1.48 - -
Away 0 0 0 10 1 9 3 - - - 2.6 1.4 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
3.1 1.8 5.5 1.14 1.91 1.33 1.85 2 5.5 1.14 19 1.02 3 1.4
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +22.8% | EV +31.9% | ROI +33.6% | n=372 | k=1.40
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +20.9% | EV +29.3% | ROI +27.8% | n=372 | k=1.40
3) Watch | AWAY | Edge +6.4% | EV +35.4% | ROI +36.0% | n=372 | k=5.50
4) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +9.8% | EV +18.2% | ROI -4.0% | n=372 | k=1.85
AI-agent: At the 74th minute of Fiorentina vs Sassuolo, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, with odds dropping 42% from pre-match levels, reflecting a close game where Fiorentina leads in shots but Sassuolo applies pressure recently. Historical data supports under 3.5 goals with a strong 95.4% win rate and 33.6% ROI over 372 matches. The best model suggestion is under 3.5 goals at 1.40 odds with a 22.8% edge and 31.9% expected value, yet the entry conditions are not fully met given the current score and match tempo. Top-4 markets recommend watching under 3.5 goals and Asian handicap +1 for the away team, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm bet. This cautious approach helps manage risk while considering the favorable statistical edge.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 74