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Italy | Serie A | Fiorentina - Sassuolo | 26.04.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 85'   —   Fiorentina 0:0 Sassuolo
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 19 4 15 7 - - 2.85 1.7 - -
Away 0 0 0 10 1 9 3 - - - 2.2 1.4 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
5.5 1.36 7 1.1 3 1.14 3.1 1.38 19 1.02 1.82 2.02 3 1.4
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +40.7% | EV +82.4% | ROI +80.6% | n=286 | k=2.02
2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +18.9% | EV +58.5% | ROI +19.2% | n=286 | k=3.10
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +22.8% | EV +31.9% | ROI +31.7% | n=286 | k=1.40
4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +22.0% | EV +30.8% | ROI +30.3% | n=286 | k=1.40
AI-agent: At the 85th minute of Fiorentina versus Sassuolo, the market strongly favors a draw with the odds dropping 56% from pre-match levels, reflecting clear market pressure. Fiorentina has been more active in shots and tempo, especially in the recent phase, while Sassuolo is below their usual level. Historical data supports under 2.5 goals with an 89.2% win rate and strong ROI, confirming a solid edge for this market. Although the model identifies under 2.5 goals as the best candidate with a +40.7% edge and +82.4% expected value, the entry conditions are not fully met yet, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation with no mandatory entry, emphasizing risk control and waiting for clearer confirmation.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 85