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Italy | Serie A | Fiorentina - Sassuolo | 26.04.2026 | 15:30:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Fiorentina 0:0 Sassuolo
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 21 4 17 7 - - 2.85 1.45 - -
Away 0 0 0 11 1 10 4 - - - 2.67 1.4 -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.91 3.1 3.6 1.25 1.33 1.8 1.05 11 1.25 4 1.82 2.02 3 1.4
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge +60.4% | EV +241.6% | ROI +215.1% | n=245 | k=4.00
2) Watch | DRAW | Edge +51.5% | EV +159.6% | ROI +137.9% | n=245 | k=3.10
3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +40.7% | EV +82.4% | ROI +76.9% | n=245 | k=2.02
4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +36.0% | EV +64.8% | ROI +58.7% | n=245 | k=1.80
AI-agent: At the 90th minute, the score remains 0-0 between Fiorentina and Sassuolo, with no red cards issued. The market shows steady pressure favoring the home side, who have been more active in shots and tempo, especially in the final phase. Historical data supports a strong likelihood of under 1.5 total goals, with a 78.8% win rate and a high ROI of 215.1%, confirming the model's edge. However, the optimal betting window for under 1.5 goals has closed after the 86th minute, so this is a monitoring situation rather than a new entry opportunity. The top markets suggest watching under 1.5 goals and the draw, both showing significant expected value but no immediate bet recommended due to timing and risk control.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378196 | minute: 90