Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	-	1.8	2.08
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	1.73	2.05	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
15	6.5	1.18	4.5	1.11	1.03	-	-	1.1	7	1.5	2.62	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +13.1% | EV +59.0% | ROI +90.2% | n=381 | k=4.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.0% | EV +6.2% | ROI +38.3% | n=381 | k=2.08

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +9.2% | EV +18.9% | ROI -7.3% | n=381 | k=2.05

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -2.3% | ROI +2.0% | n=381 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At 16 minutes into the Genoa vs Como match, Como leads 1-0 and market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping 25% from pre-match levels reflecting this advantage. Como confirms their edge through shots on goal, although recent play shows no sustained dominance by either team. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support opening a bet on the away handicap -1, despite the model indicating a positive edge and expected value. The top-4 markets suggest watching double chance 1X or home +1.5 handicap as safer options, while over 2.5 goals is not recommended. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a clear betting opportunity, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 16