Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	-	3	1.85
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	2	1.38	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
15	6	1.2	4.33	1.12	1.03	-	-	1.17	5	1.75	2.05	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +13.7% | EV +59.3% | ROI +75.5% | n=484 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.6% | EV +37.8% | ROI +48.1% | n=484 | k=3.00

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +4.9% | EV +29.5% | ROI +50.0% | n=484 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.7% | EV +4.9% | ROI +24.2% | n=484 | k=1.85

AI-agent: At 28 minutes, Como leads Genoa 1-0 in this Serie A match. Market pressure favors the visitors, with odds dropping 24% from pre-match levels, reflecting their shot advantage. However, there is no sustained pressure from either side recently, and the tempo is slower than their last meeting. Historical data supports a double chance on Genoa (1X) with a 40.5% probability and a strong ROI of 75.5%, though the model has not triggered a bet due to current match dynamics. The top-4 markets suggest watching the 1X and Asian Handicap +1 options, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm entry. Caution is advised given the evolving match situation and no red cards so far.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 28