Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	-	3.1	1.85
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	2	1.35	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
17	6	1.2	4.33	1.12	1.02	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.85	2	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +12.5% | EV +54.3% | ROI +70.7% | n=490 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +13.2% | EV +41.0% | ROI +49.2% | n=490 | k=3.10

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.3% | EV +31.9% | ROI +42.0% | n=490 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.2% | EV +6.0% | ROI +23.1% | n=490 | k=1.85

AI-agent: At 30 minutes into the Genoa vs Como match, Como leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the away team, reflected by a 24% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming their shot advantage. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where the score was 1-0 at this stage and ended 1-1. Historical data supports a +1 handicap for Genoa with a 54.1% win rate and a strong ROI of 49.2%. The model identifies a promising +1 handicap for Genoa with a 13.2% edge and 41.0% expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet met due to current score and tempo. Top-4 markets suggest watching double chance 1X or Genoa +1 handicap with positive edges, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet. Caution and risk control are advised given the match dynamics and incomplete entry signals.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 30