Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	-	-	2.85	1.65
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	2.2	1.4	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
19	5.5	1.2	4.33	1.14	1.02	-	-	1.3	3.5	2.25	1.62	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +12.9% | EV +55.9% | ROI +72.2% | n=458 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.0% | EV +45.6% | ROI +43.8% | n=458 | k=2.85

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.7% | EV +31.2% | ROI +48.9% | n=458 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.9% | EV +8.2% | ROI +16.0% | n=458 | k=1.65

AI-agent: At 45 minutes, Como leads Genoa 1-0 in this Serie A match. Market pressure favors the guests, with odds dropping 22% from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where Genoa led 1-0 at this stage and the match ended 1-1. Historical data supports a +1 handicap on Genoa with a 57.2% win rate and 43.8% ROI, but the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match dynamics. The top-4 markets suggest watching the double chance on Genoa or the +1 handicap, indicating potential value but recommending monitoring rather than immediate betting to control risk.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 45