Match Replay

Step 43 of 81. Current minute: 47 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	-	-	2.67	1.6
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	2.3	1.45	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
17	5.5	1.22	4	1.14	1.02	-	-	1.3	3.5	2.38	1.55	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +12.3% | EV +49.2% | ROI +52.2% | n=452 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.8% | EV +42.4% | ROI +33.4% | n=452 | k=2.67

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.6% | EV +30.8% | ROI +43.6% | n=452 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.7% | EV +7.6% | ROI +11.5% | n=452 | k=1.60

AI-agent: At the 47th minute, Como leads Genoa 1-0, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the visitors, reflected by a 22% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not confirm clear dominance. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where Genoa was ahead 1-0 at this stage. Historical data supports a +1 handicap for Genoa with a 55.7% win rate and a 33.4% ROI, indicating value. However, the model has not triggered a bet due to current match dynamics and tempo. Top-4 markets suggest watching the double chance on Genoa or the +1 handicap, both showing positive expected value but not yet strong enough for a confident entry. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 47