Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	-	2.42	1.43
Away	1	0	0	6	1	5	2	-	2.75	1.52	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
23	5.5	1.2	4.33	1.14	1.01	-	-	1.52	2.42	3.5	1.3	10	1.06

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +11.5% | EV +49.9% | ROI +56.6% | n=393 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +17.8% | EV +43.2% | ROI +24.0% | n=393 | k=2.42

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +6.2% | EV +34.0% | ROI +48.3% | n=393 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.8% | EV +8.3% | ROI +3.3% | n=393 | k=1.42

AI-agent: At the 60th minute in the Genoa vs Como match, Como leads 1-0, but the market pressure favors the home side with a 24% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Shot statistics do not confirm dominance for either team, and the tempo is slower compared to their last meeting. Historical data supports a +1 handicap for Genoa with a 56.8% win probability and a positive ROI of 24%. The model identifies a strong edge and expected value on this handicap at odds of 2.42, but entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not met, so no bet is advised now. The top markets suggest watching the double chance on Genoa or the +1 handicap, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, with risk control recommended.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 60