Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	1	3	1	-	-	-	-	1.8	4.25
Away	2	0	0	6	1	5	2	-	1.21	2.05	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
67	21	1.01	21	1.01	1	-	-	-	-	1.93	1.93	6	1.12

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +31.2% | EV +64.0% | ROI -13.8% | n=341 | k=2.05

2) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.3% | EV -0.7% | ROI -4.7% | n=341 | k=1.92

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.5% | EV -6.8% | ROI -5.6% | n=341 | k=1.92

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.8% | ROI -2.4% | n=341 | k=4.25

AI-agent: At 68 minutes in the Genoa vs Como match, Como leads 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping 35% from pre-match levels, but shot data does not clearly support dominance. Both teams play at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where the score was 1-0 at this stage. Historical data for the away handicap -1 shows a positive win rate but a negative ROI, indicating weak historical reliability. The model signals a strong edge (+31.2%) and expected value (+64.0%) for betting on Como -1 at odds 2.05, yet the entry is not confirmed due to the failed historical check. The top markets suggest watching this opportunity rather than placing a bet now, emphasizing cautious monitoring rather than mandatory action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 68