Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	6	1	5	2	-	-	-	-	1.8	5.5
Away	2	0	0	8	2	6	2	-	1.15	2.05	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
101	26	1.01	26	1.01	1	-	-	-	-	2.55	1.52	11	1.05

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.2% | EV +66.0% | ROI +94.2% | n=165 | k=2.05

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.8% | EV +4.5% | ROI -50.0% | n=165 | k=5.50

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.5% | EV -6.9% | ROI +6.3% | n=165 | k=1.52

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.3% | EV -0.7% | ROI -22.7% | n=165 | k=2.55

AI-agent: At the 80th minute in Genoa vs Como, the market strongly favors the away side with the handicap AH_AWAY-1, reflecting a 36% drop in odds since pre-match due to Como's 2-0 lead and confirmed shot advantage. The historical data supports this bet with a 98.7% win rate and a high ROI of 94.2% over 165 matches in similar situations. The model confirms a strong edge of +32.2% and expected value of +66.0%, though no new bet is opened as this position is already held or covered. Other markets like AH_HOME+1.5 are on watch, while totals under and over 2.5 goals show no value. This is a favorable betting opportunity with controlled risk, but the current position should be managed carefully.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 80