Match Replay

Step 73 of 81. Current minute: 87 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	6	1	5	2	-	-	-	-	1.8	1.45
Away	2	0	0	8	2	6	3	-	2.67	2.05	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
451	51	1	2.25	1.22	1.12	-	-	-	-	4.25	1.22	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +44.0% | EV +117.7% | ROI +154.0% | n=158 | k=2.67

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.6% | EV +66.9% | ROI +99.7% | n=158 | k=2.05

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.4% | ROI -24.7% | n=158 | k=4.25

4) No Bet | Double Chance 1X | Edge -25.8% | EV -58.1% | ROI -100.0% | n=158 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At the 87th minute in Genoa vs Como, the market strongly favors the visitors, with odds dropping 36% from pre-match levels reflecting their 2-0 lead. Como confirms their dominance in shots, though recent pressure has evened out. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap -1.5, showing a 94.9% win rate and 154% ROI over 158 matches. The model indicates a +44% edge and +117.7% expected value for this bet, but the entry window closed after the 86th minute, so no new bets are advised now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a call to bet, emphasizing risk control despite the favorable statistics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 87