Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	-	1.8	2.15
Away	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	-	1.68	2.05	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
15	7	1.17	5	1.1	1.03	-	-	1.08	8	1.44	2.75	2.3	1.61

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +14.1% | EV +70.5% | ROI +41.4% | n=2146 | k=5.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.0% | EV +8.6% | ROI +23.0% | n=2146 | k=2.15

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.4% | EV +21.3% | ROI -46.1% | n=2146 | k=2.05

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -5.3% | EV -8.5% | ROI -6.1% | n=2146 | k=1.61

AI-agent: At 10 minutes into the Genoa vs Como match, Como leads 1-0 and market pressure favors the away side, with odds dropping 24% from pre-match levels. Como confirms their advantage in shots, showing more activity than in previous encounters, while Genoa is below their usual level. Historical data for a -1 handicap on Como shows a negative ROI and fails the reliability check, despite the model signaling a positive edge and expected value. The top markets suggest watching double chance 1X or handicap options rather than placing a bet now. This is a monitoring situation where the model sees potential but the entry conditions are not yet confirmed, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 10