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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	-	2.75	1.7
Away	1	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	2.1	1.43	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
17	5.5	1.22	4	1.14	1.02	-	-	1.25	4	2.1	1.77	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +12.3% | EV +49.2% | ROI +56.6% | n=470 | k=4.00

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +13.2% | EV +36.2% | ROI +37.4% | n=470 | k=2.75

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.6% | EV +30.8% | ROI +40.4% | n=470 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.2% | EV +5.4% | ROI +17.2% | n=470 | k=1.70

AI-agent: At 41 minutes, Como leads Genoa 1-0, with the market increasingly favoring the visitors as their odds have dropped 22% since pre-match, reflecting their shot dominance and pressure in recent play. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, where the score was 1-0 at this stage and ended 1-1. Historical data supports a +1 handicap for Genoa with a 55.8% win probability and a strong ROI of 37.4%, confirming a positive edge of 13.2% and expected value of 36.2%. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match conditions not fully meeting entry criteria. The top markets suggest watching the double chance on Genoa or the +1 handicap, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm betting opportunity, so caution is advised with risk management in mind.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 41