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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	-	2.25	1.35
Away	1	0	0	6	1	5	2	-	3.1	1.68	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
21	5	1.22	4	1.17	1.01	-	-	1.62	2.25	4.33	1.22	13	1.04

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +19.9% | EV +44.7% | ROI +17.4% | n=376 | k=2.25

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +12.2% | EV +48.7% | ROI +38.3% | n=376 | k=4.00

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +6.2% | EV +31.1% | ROI +33.0% | n=376 | k=5.00

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.3% | EV +7.1% | ROI +0.2% | n=376 | k=1.35

AI-agent: At 64 minutes, Como leads Genoa 1-0, with market pressure favoring the visitors as their odds have dropped 22% since pre-match. Despite the scoreline, there is no clear dominance in shots or sustained pressure from either side, and both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting. Historical data supports a +1 handicap on Genoa with a 57.3% win rate and a positive ROI of 17.4%, indicating value. The model identifies an edge of nearly 20% and an expected value of +44.7% for this bet, but the entry conditions are not fully met given the current match dynamics. The top-4 markets suggest watching the +1 handicap on Genoa as the best option, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a firm betting opportunity due to the lack of confirmed momentum and tempo advantage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378197 | minute: 64