Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	0	3	0	-	-	-	2	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	-	-	-	1.85	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.1	2.6	2.88	1.36	1.44	1.33	1.22	4.33	1.98	1.88	4	1.25	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | HOME | Edge +1.0% | EV +3.1% | ROI -4.4% | n=1252 | k=3.10

2) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.7% | EV -5.4% | ROI +14.2% | n=1252 | k=1.98

3) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.1% | EV -4.5% | ROI +12.8% | n=1252 | k=4.00

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -0.9% | EV -2.5% | ROI -5.4% | n=1252 | k=2.88

AI-agent: At 31 minutes in a goalless match between Milan and Juventus, the market shows increased support for a draw, with odds dropping 16% from pre-match levels reflecting the current score. Shot data does not clearly favor either side, though the home team is applying more pressure recently. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, which also ended 0-0. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a home win despite a slight model edge of +1.0% and an expected value of +3.1%. The best option currently is to watch the home win market cautiously rather than place a bet, as the edge is just at the minimum threshold and the historical ROI is negative. Other popular markets like over 1.5 or 2.5 goals and away win do not present value opportunities at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378199 | minute: 31