Match Replay

Step 16 of 59. Current minute: 21 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	1	2	2	-	-	-	1.48	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	2.6	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.25	2.62	4	1.22	1.44	1.57	1.2	4.5	1.88	1.98	3.75	1.28	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +4.9% | EV +19.6% | ROI +18.9% | n=841 | k=4.00

2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -1.6% | EV -2.5% | ROI +3.1% | n=841 | k=1.57

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.6% | EV -1.2% | ROI -6.5% | n=841 | k=1.98

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.4% | EV -6.3% | ROI -1.2% | n=841 | k=1.88

AI-agent: At 21 minutes in the Parma vs Pisa match, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with a 15% drop in odds from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play. Shots data do not strongly favor either side, though the hosts have been more active recently. Historical data supports an away win with a 29.7% probability and an 18.9% ROI, but the model's edge of +4.9% is below the minimum threshold for a bet. The best option is to watch the away win at odds of 4.00, acknowledging the positive expected value but holding off on betting due to risk control. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378201 | minute: 21