Match Replay

Step 31 of 59. Current minute: 44 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	2	5	3	-	-	-	1.57	-	-
Away	0	0	0	6	2	4	4	-	-	-	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.62	2.3	4	1.22	1.53	1.44	1.36	3.2	2.5	1.5	6	1.12	17	1.02

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +5.2% | EV +20.7% | ROI +8.8% | n=500 | k=4.00

2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.9% | EV -4.4% | ROI -6.4% | n=500 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -2.2% | EV -3.4% | ROI -13.2% | n=500 | k=1.53

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -2.1% | EV -3.0% | ROI +1.9% | n=500 | k=1.44

AI-agent: At 44 minutes, the market shows strong support for a draw with odds dropping 26% from pre-match levels, reflecting clear market pressure. Shot data does not confirm dominance by either side, and the scoreline of 0-0 matches the balanced tempo on the pitch. Historical data from 500 similar matches indicates a 27.2% chance of an away win with a positive ROI of 8.8%, supporting the model's preference for a Pisa victory. However, the model's edge of +5.2% is just below the minimum threshold of +6.0%, so no bet is advised yet. This is a monitoring situation where the away win at odds of 4.00 looks promising but requires caution and risk control before entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378201 | minute: 44