Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	12	2	10	5	-	-	-	1.62	-	-
Away	0	0	0	10	2	8	4	-	-	-	2.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.5	1.44	6.5	1.11	2.62	1.18	2.55	1.52	13	1.04	2.42	1.52	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +26.2% | EV +40.0% | ROI +44.8% | n=218 | k=1.52

2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +6.2% | EV +15.9% | ROI -1.7% | n=218 | k=2.55

3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.9% | EV +2.5% | ROI -14.5% | n=218 | k=2.62

4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -2.4% | EV -10.8% | ROI -17.4% | n=218 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At the 77th minute of the Parma vs Pisa Serie A match, the score remains 0-0 with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 53% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side. The tempo is balanced, matching the even scoreline, with Parma showing more activity compared to their last meeting on 08.12.2025, which ended 0-1. Historical data for similar situations strongly supports under 2.5 goals with a 95% win rate and a 44.8% ROI over 218 matches. The model confirms a strong edge (+26.2%) and expected value (+40.0%) for under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.52. No new bet is opened as this position is already covered in the portfolio. The top recommended bet is under 2.5 goals, with risk control advised given the stable but cautious market signals. Other options are for monitoring only, not mandatory entries.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378201 | minute: 77