Match Replay

Step 55 of 59. Current minute: 87 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	13	3	10	5	-	6.6	1.88	1.52	-	-
Away	0	0	0	12	3	9	4	-	-	-	2.42	1.98	1.11

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.08	7.5	101	1	1.08	7.5	-	-	3.5	1.3	26	1.01	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +9.4% | EV +18.6% | ROI +4.3% | n=151 | k=1.98

2) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.0% | EV -3.8% | ROI +5.9% | n=151 | k=1.30

3) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.5% | EV -8.9% | ROI -35.1% | n=151 | k=3.50

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -13.4% | EV -25.1% | ROI -5.5% | n=151 | k=1.88

AI-agent: At the 87th minute, Parma leads Pisa 1-0 in this Serie A match. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 51% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, and recent minutes show no sustained pressure. Historical data strongly supports under 3.5 goals in similar situations, with a 100% win rate over 151 matches and a positive ROI of 20%. The best model suggestion is under 3.5 goals with a 12.7% edge and 15.2% expected value, but the betting window for this market closed after the 86th minute. Top-4 markets recommend watching the away handicap +1 with a moderate edge, while no bets are advised on other lines. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry, emphasizing risk control given the balanced game dynamics and limited scoring upside.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378201 | minute: 87