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Italy | Serie A | Parma - Pisa | 25.04.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 21'   —   Parma 0:0 Pisa
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 3 1 2 2 - - - 1.48 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - - 2.6 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
2.25 2.62 4 1.22 1.44 1.57 1.2 4.5 1.88 1.98 3.75 1.28 8 1.08
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +4.9% | EV +19.6% | ROI +18.9% | n=841 | k=4.00
2) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -1.6% | EV -2.5% | ROI +3.1% | n=841 | k=1.57
3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -0.6% | EV -1.2% | ROI -6.5% | n=841 | k=1.98
4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -3.4% | EV -6.3% | ROI -1.2% | n=841 | k=1.88
AI-agent: At 21 minutes in the Parma vs Pisa match, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with a 15% drop in odds from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play. Shots data do not strongly favor either side, though the hosts have been more active recently. Historical data supports an away win with a 29.7% probability and an 18.9% ROI, but the model's edge of +4.9% is below the minimum threshold for a bet. The best option is to watch the away win at odds of 4.00, acknowledging the positive expected value but holding off on betting due to risk control. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378201 | minute: 21