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Italy | Serie A | Parma - Pisa | 25.04.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 75'   —   Parma 0:0 Pisa
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 12 2 10 5 - - - 1.62 - -
Away 0 0 0 10 2 8 4 - - - 2.35 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4 1.53 6 1.12 2.38 1.22 2.35 1.62 11 1.05 2.42 1.52 4.5 1.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +26.2% | EV +40.0% | ROI +44.5% | n=229 | k=1.52
2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +5.1% | EV +11.9% | ROI -3.5% | n=229 | k=2.35
3) Watch | AWAY | Edge +4.0% | EV +24.2% | ROI -10.9% | n=229 | k=6.00
4) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.8% | ROI -18.1% | n=229 | k=2.38
AI-agent: At 75 minutes, the match between Parma and Pisa remains goalless with no red cards. Market pressure favors a draw, reflected by a 51% drop in odds from pre-match levels, indicating strong market confidence in a low-scoring outcome. Shot data shows no clear dominance by either side, and the game tempo is balanced, consistent with the 0-0 scoreline. Historical comparison is limited but suggests a similar scoreline at this stage in their last meeting. The model signals a value bet on Under 2.5 goals with a solid edge of +26.2% and an expected value of +40.0%, supported by a good ROI of +44.5% over 229 samples. However, this is a systematic signal rather than a guaranteed outcome, so caution is advised. Other monitored markets, including Over 0.5 goals and away win, show weaker edges and are recommended for observation rather than betting.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378201 | minute: 75