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Italy | Serie A | Parma - Pisa | 25.04.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 79'   —   Parma 0:0 Pisa
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 12 2 10 5 - - - 1.68 - -
Away 0 0 0 10 2 8 4 - - - 2.25 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.75 1.44 6.5 1.11 2.62 1.17 2.7 1.48 15 1.03 2.42 1.52 4.5 1.2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +26.2% | EV +40.0% | ROI +45.3% | n=213 | k=1.52
2) Watch | Over 0.5 Goals | Edge +7.0% | EV +18.8% | ROI +0.1% | n=213 | k=2.70
3) Watch | Double Chance 12 | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.8% | ROI -17.4% | n=213 | k=2.62
4) No Bet | HOME | Edge -2.1% | EV -9.9% | ROI -15.3% | n=213 | k=4.75
AI-agent: At the 79th minute, the match between Parma and Pisa remains goalless with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 53% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, and the tempo remains balanced, consistent with the 0:0 scoreline. Historical data from 213 similar matches strongly supports under 2.5 goals with a 95.3% win rate and a solid ROI of 45.3%. The model confirms a strong edge (+26.2%) and expected value (+40.0%) for under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.52. Although no new bet is opened due to existing portfolio coverage, this remains the best value bet with controlled risk. Other markets suggest monitoring but do not justify new entries at this stage.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1378201 | minute: 79